Análisis Celaya vs Cafetaleros
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
54.3%
Probabilidad gana
1.68
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.2%
Empate
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
21.5%
Probabilidad gana
0.96
Goles esperados
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-14%
-20%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 feb. 2017 |
TOR
1 - 1
VER
36%
25%
39%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 feb. 2017 |
ZAC
0 - 0
TOR
45%
27%
28%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 feb. 2017 |
DOR
1 - 0
TOR
44%
26%
30%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 feb. 2017 |
TOR
4 - 0
MER
63%
22%
16%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 feb. 2017 |
ATL
1 - 2
TOR
48%
26%
26%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
Partidos
Cafetaleros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 feb. 2017 |
CAF
5 - 1
MER
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 feb. 2017 |
ATL
2 - 2
CAF
55%
24%
21%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 feb. 2017 |
CAF
0 - 1
CAÑ
44%
27%
30%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 feb. 2017 |
UAT
1 - 0
CAF
45%
26%
29%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 ene. 2017 |
CAF
0 - 1
ALE
38%
27%
35%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |