Análisis Cella vs Montecarlo
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
42.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.68
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
23.4%
Empate
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
34.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.5
Goles esperados
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+56%
-5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Cella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 feb. 2025 |
HER
0 - 2
CEL
42%
23%
36%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 feb. 2025 |
CEL
3 - 0
SPO
38%
24%
38%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 feb. 2025 |
ATC
1 - 0
CEL
70%
17%
13%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 ene. 2025 |
CEL
3 - 2
MAL
32%
24%
44%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 ene. 2025 |
CEL
1 - 2
ICF
15%
21%
64%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | -1 |
Partidos
Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 feb. 2025 |
UDM
0 - 1
ACF
25%
24%
52%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 feb. 2025 |
TER
2 - 1
UDM
48%
22%
30%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 feb. 2025 |
UDM
0 - 1
ALC
59%
20%
21%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 ene. 2025 |
MAG
1 - 0
UDM
40%
24%
36%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 ene. 2025 |
UDS
3 - 2
UDM
52%
23%
26%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |