Análisis Celta vs Espanyol
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
61.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.46
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
18.5%
Empate
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.5%
19.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.36
Goles esperados
0-1
3%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+1%
+10%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 ene. 1949 |
SAB
3 - 0
CEL
40%
22%
39%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 ene. 1949 |
CEL
3 - 1
SEV
64%
18%
18%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 ene. 1949 |
ALC
1 - 0
CEL
38%
23%
39%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 ene. 1949 |
CEL
2 - 0
VAD
80%
11%
9%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 ene. 1949 |
SGL
1 - 2
CEL
24%
20%
56%
|
81 | 47 | 34 | 0 |
Partidos
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 ene. 1949 |
ESP
1 - 0
SEV
55%
21%
23%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 ene. 1949 |
VAD
1 - 0
ESP
38%
23%
40%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 ene. 1949 |
ESP
1 - 1
ATH
48%
22%
30%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 ene. 1949 |
ATM
2 - 1
ESP
75%
14%
11%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 dic. 1948 |
ESP
3 - 0
VCF
46%
23%
31%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | +1 |