Análisis Celta vs Hércules
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
67.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.78
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
16.3%
Empate
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.3%
16.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.34
Goles esperados
0-1
2.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+5%
-8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 sep. 1944 |
RAC
2 - 2
CEL
40%
21%
39%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 may. 1944 |
CEL
3 - 2
ATM
39%
22%
39%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | +2 |
| 14 may. 1944 |
ATM
4 - 0
CEL
80%
11%
8%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 may. 1944 |
CEL
5 - 1
CUL
75%
14%
11%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 abr. 1944 |
CUL
2 - 2
CEL
44%
22%
35%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
Partidos
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 sep. 1944 |
HER
4 - 3
BET
47%
22%
31%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 may. 1944 |
MUR
2 - 0
HER
65%
17%
18%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 abr. 1944 |
HER
0 - 1
MUR
48%
23%
29%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 abr. 1944 |
ARE
4 - 0
HER
37%
24%
39%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | -2 |
| 02 abr. 1944 |
HER
2 - 1
BAR
65%
20%
16%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |