Primera División Jor. 17

Análisis Celta vs Sevilla

Celta Sevilla
81 ELO 83
21.9% Tilt 6%
59º Ranking ELO general 49º
13º Ranking ELO país 10º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
63.7%
Celta
18.1%
Empate
18.2%
Sevilla

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
63.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
Celta
2.48
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
18.1%
Empate
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.1%
18.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
Sevilla
1.28
Goles esperados
0-1
3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
Celta
+2%
-6%
Sevilla

Progresión del ELO

Celta
Sevilla
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Celta
Celta
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 ene. 1949
ALC
Alcoyano
1 - 0
Celta
CEL
38%
23%
39%
81 76 5 0
09 ene. 1949
CEL
Celta
2 - 0
Real Valladolid
VAD
80%
11%
9%
81 70 11 0
06 ene. 1949
SGL
SG Lucense
1 - 2
Celta
CEL
24%
20%
56%
81 47 34 0
12 dic. 1948
GIM
Gimnàstic Tarragona
3 - 2
Celta
CEL
45%
21%
34%
81 77 4 0
05 dic. 1948
ATH
Athletic
3 - 2
Celta
CEL
72%
15%
14%
81 84 3 0

Partidos

Sevilla
Sevilla
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 ene. 1949
SEV
Sevilla
2 - 1
Real Valladolid
VAD
77%
13%
10%
83 70 13 0
09 ene. 1949
ATH
Athletic
4 - 0
Sevilla
SEV
71%
15%
13%
83 84 1 0
02 ene. 1949
RCD
RCD Córdoba
0 - 3
Sevilla
SEV
33%
24%
43%
83 64 19 0
19 dic. 1948
FCB
Barcelona
1 - 0
Sevilla
SEV
74%
15%
12%
83 87 4 0
12 dic. 1948
SEV
Sevilla
0 - 1
Atlético
ATM
56%
20%
24%
84 86 2 -1