Análisis Cerro Largo vs Basáñez
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
70.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.05
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
18.9%
Empate
0-0
6.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
10.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.62
Goles esperados
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Cerro Largo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 oct. 2007 |
LUZ
1 - 2
CEL
27%
26%
47%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 sep. 2007 |
CEL
0 - 1
ROC
50%
25%
24%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 sep. 2007 |
PLA
1 - 3
CEL
33%
28%
40%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 sep. 2007 |
CEL
1 - 0
SUD
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 may. 2007 |
BAS
1 - 2
CEL
28%
26%
46%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
Partidos
Basáñez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 oct. 2007 |
RAC
3 - 1
BAS
61%
23%
17%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 sep. 2007 |
BAS
2 - 3
SUD
45%
26%
29%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 sep. 2007 |
ETS
1 - 1
BAS
52%
25%
23%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 sep. 2007 |
BAS
2 - 0
ROC
25%
27%
48%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 may. 2007 |
BAS
1 - 2
CEL
28%
26%
46%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | -2 |