Análisis Cerro Porteño vs Alianza Lima
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
67%
Probabilidad gana
2.02
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20%
Empate
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
12.9%
Probabilidad gana
0.75
Goles esperados
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+19%
+5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 mar. 2002 |
REC
2 - 4
CCP
34%
26%
40%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 mar. 2002 |
CCP
1 - 3
SAO
43%
25%
32%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 mar. 2002 |
CCP
1 - 4
SPC
68%
20%
12%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 feb. 2002 |
GUA
2 - 3
CCP
39%
26%
35%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 feb. 2002 |
CCP
0 - 1
OLI
57%
23%
20%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
Partidos
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 feb. 2002 |
COB
5 - 0
ALI
65%
21%
15%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 feb. 2002 |
SAO
4 - 0
ALI
81%
13%
6%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 feb. 2002 |
ALI
0 - 0
CCP
31%
26%
44%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 abr. 2000 |
EME
2 - 2
ALI
53%
24%
23%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 abr. 2000 |
ALI
2 - 2
NAC
34%
27%
40%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |