Análisis Cerro Porteño vs Defensor Sporting
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
66%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.15
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
19.4%
Empate
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
14.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.9
Goles esperados
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+13%
+4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 mar. 1992 |
CCP
2 - 0
AME
66%
19%
15%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 mar. 1992 |
NAC
0 - 0
CCP
63%
22%
16%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 mar. 1992 |
DEF
2 - 3
CCP
46%
24%
30%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 mar. 1992 |
AME
0 - 2
CCP
47%
24%
30%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 may. 1991 |
OLI
3 - 0
CCP
60%
23%
18%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
Partidos
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 mar. 1992 |
NAC
2 - 3
DEF
77%
15%
8%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 mar. 1992 |
DEF
1 - 2
AME
59%
21%
20%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 mar. 1992 |
DEF
2 - 3
CCP
46%
24%
30%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 mar. 1992 |
DEF
0 - 1
NAC
25%
26%
49%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 ago. 1990 |
RIV
2 - 1
DEF
85%
10%
5%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |