Análisis Cerro Porteño vs Nacional
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
64.3%
Probabilidad gana
2.14
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.8%
Empate
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
15.9%
Probabilidad gana
0.96
Goles esperados
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+28%
-12%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 feb. 2017 |
RÑU
0 - 3
CCP
29%
27%
45%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 dic. 2016 |
CCP
4 - 1
LQE
59%
22%
20%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 dic. 2016 |
DEP
2 - 2
CCP
47%
26%
28%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 dic. 2016 |
CCP
2 - 2
AME
66%
20%
15%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 dic. 2016 |
CCP
4 - 0
RPA
70%
18%
12%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
Partidos
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 feb. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 2
DEP
34%
25%
42%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 dic. 2016 |
NAC
2 - 0
RPA
62%
22%
17%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 dic. 2016 |
GEN
1 - 2
NAC
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 dic. 2016 |
NAC
3 - 1
RÑU
46%
26%
28%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 nov. 2016 |
OLI
2 - 1
NAC
62%
21%
17%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |