Análisis Cerro Porteño vs Nacional
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
61.1%
Probabilidad gana
1.85
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.2%
Empate
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
16.7%
Probabilidad gana
0.85
Goles esperados
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+28%
-13%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 nov. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 2
CCP
33%
26%
41%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 nov. 2017 |
OLI
2 - 1
CCP
45%
25%
30%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 oct. 2017 |
CCP
2 - 0
DEP
52%
24%
24%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 oct. 2017 |
LIB
2 - 3
CCP
41%
27%
32%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 oct. 2017 |
CCP
1 - 0
IND
66%
20%
14%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
Partidos
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 nov. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 2
CCP
33%
26%
41%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 nov. 2017 |
NAC
0 - 4
GUA
34%
26%
41%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 nov. 2017 |
IND
2 - 0
NAC
60%
24%
16%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 oct. 2017 |
LQE
1 - 1
NAC
44%
27%
29%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 oct. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 4
IND
36%
27%
37%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | -1 |