Copa Libertadores Semifinal
Global 3-4
Análisis Cerro Porteño vs Santos FC
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
27.3%
Probabilidad gana
1.06
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
26.1%
Empate
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
46.6%
Probabilidad gana
1.47
Goles esperados
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+8%
-5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 may. 2011 |
LQE
4 - 1
CCP
26%
27%
47%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 may. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 0
CCP
65%
21%
15%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 may. 2011 |
CCP
1 - 1
SAN
71%
20%
9%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 may. 2011 |
CCP
1 - 1
AME
70%
20%
10%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 may. 2011 |
CCP
1 - 0
JAG
49%
26%
26%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 may. 2011 |
BOT
1 - 0
SAN
40%
24%
35%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 may. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 0
CCP
65%
21%
15%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 may. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 1
SCI
53%
24%
24%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 may. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 1
ONC
61%
21%
18%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 may. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 1
COR
54%
24%
22%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |