Análisis Cerro de Reyes vs Amanecer
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
86.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.92
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.4%
4-0
10%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.2%
3-0
13.7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.3%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
10.1%
Empate
0-0
3.3%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.1%
3.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.49
Goles esperados
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Cerro de Reyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 oct. 2003 |
COR
1 - 0
CER
17%
25%
58%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 oct. 2003 |
CER
3 - 0
MOR
35%
26%
39%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | +3 |
| 12 oct. 2003 |
PLA
1 - 0
CER
43%
26%
31%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 oct. 2003 |
CER
1 - 7
SEV
12%
27%
61%
|
33 | 86 | 53 | 0 |
| 05 oct. 2003 |
CER
1 - 1
UCL
67%
20%
13%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
Partidos
Amanecer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 oct. 2003 |
AMA
1 - 0
CPA
31%
26%
43%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 oct. 2003 |
MON
0 - 0
AMA
83%
12%
5%
|
13 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 oct. 2003 |
AMA
2 - 0
MON
21%
24%
55%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | +2 |
| 05 oct. 2003 |
CDP
3 - 0
AMA
59%
22%
20%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 sep. 2003 |
AMA
0 - 2
CDZ
13%
22%
65%
|
13 | 49 | 36 | -1 |