Análisis Cerro de Reyes vs Estrella
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
82.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.57
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
12.7%
Empate
0-0
4.7%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.7%
5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.49
Goles esperados
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Cerro de Reyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 mar. 2005 |
MER
2 - 0
CER
54%
27%
20%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 mar. 2005 |
CER
3 - 0
SPV
62%
20%
18%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 mar. 2005 |
BAD
0 - 1
CER
17%
27%
57%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 feb. 2005 |
CER
1 - 0
MON
85%
11%
4%
|
39 | 18 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 feb. 2005 |
MOR
0 - 2
CER
52%
25%
23%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
Partidos
Estrella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 mar. 2005 |
EST
1 - 0
EXT
30%
27%
43%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 mar. 2005 |
BUR
0 - 1
EST
41%
27%
33%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 mar. 2005 |
EST
0 - 3
MIA
52%
25%
23%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 feb. 2005 |
CPC
1 - 1
EST
81%
14%
5%
|
21 | 40 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 feb. 2005 |
EST
1 - 3
PLA
22%
26%
52%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | -1 |