Campionato Primavera 1 Jor. 12

Análisis Cesena U19 vs Modena U19

Cesena U19 Modena U19
39 ELO 21
-9.7% Tilt -4.9%
26982º Ranking ELO general 9983º
1002º Ranking ELO país 358º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
78.3%
Cesena U19
15.2%
Empate
6.5%
Modena U19

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probability of handicap
78.3%
Win probability
Cesena U19
2.33
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.5%
15.2%
Empate
0-0
5.9%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
6.5%
Win probability
Modena U19
0.51
Goles esperados
0-1
3%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

ELO24.826.528.229.931.633.33536.738.34041.743.445.146.848.550.2-39%-30.7%-22.5%-14.2%-5.9%2.3%10.6%18.8%27.1%35.4%43.6%51.9%60.2%68.4%76.7%84.9%93.2%101.5%109.7%118%
← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
Cesena U19
+18%
+116%
Modena U19

Progresión del ELO

19º22º25º28º31º34º37ºDec .11Apr .12Jul .12Oct .12
Cesena U19
Modena U19
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Cesena U19
Cesena U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 nov. 2012
BRE
Brescia U19
1 - 2
Cesena U19
CES
32%
25%
43%
39 31 8 0
10 nov. 2012
CES
Cesena U19
3 - 0
Chievo Verona U19
CHI
24%
26%
50%
35 47 12 +4
03 nov. 2012
BOL
Bologna U19
2 - 3
Cesena U19
CES
59%
22%
19%
34 39 5 +1
27 oct. 2012
CES
Cesena U19
2 - 1
Sassuolo U19
SAS
60%
22%
18%
34 26 8 0
20 oct. 2012
UDI
Udinese U19
1 - 0
Cesena U19
CES
36%
25%
39%
35 28 7 -1

Partidos

Modena U19
Modena U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 nov. 2012
MOD
Modena U19
2 - 2
Sassuolo U19
SAS
31%
25%
45%
21 25 4 0
10 nov. 2012
INT
Inter U19
0 - 0
Modena U19
MOD
86%
11%
4%
20 48 28 +1
03 nov. 2012
MOD
Modena U19
3 - 4
Padova U19
PAD
27%
25%
48%
21 30 9 -1
27 oct. 2012
MOD
Modena U19
1 - 5
Milan U19
MIL
10%
18%
72%
22 41 19 -1
20 oct. 2012
VAR
Varese U19
2 - 1
Modena U19
MOD
76%
16%
8%
22 39 17 0