Tercera División - Play Offs Ascenso Semifinal

Global 4-0

Análisis Cfba Caravaca vs CD Alcalá

Cfba Caravaca CD Alcalá
50 ELO 49
14.2% Tilt 20.2%
23153º Ranking ELO general 14798º
7476º Ranking ELO país 2611º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
54.4%
Cfba Caravaca
23.5%
Empate
22.1%
CD Alcalá

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
54.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
Cfba Caravaca
1.76
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.5%
Empate
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
22.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
CD Alcalá
1.03
Goles esperados
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

Progresión del ELO

Cfba Caravaca
CD Alcalá
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Cfba Caravaca
Cfba Caravaca
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 jun. 2009
ALC
CD Alcalá
0 - 2
Cfba Caravaca
CFB
50%
24%
26%
47 52 5 0
31 may. 2009
EST
Unión Estepona
2 - 1
Cfba Caravaca
CFB
63%
19%
17%
48 55 7 -1
24 may. 2009
CFB
Cfba Caravaca
3 - 2
Unión Estepona
EST
41%
25%
34%
45 56 11 +3
17 may. 2009
CFB
Cfba Caravaca
2 - 0
Jumilla
JUM
76%
15%
9%
45 33 12 0
09 may. 2009
CIE
Cieza
1 - 1
Cfba Caravaca
CFB
23%
22%
56%
46 33 13 -1

Partidos

CD Alcalá
CD Alcalá
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 jun. 2009
ALC
CD Alcalá
0 - 2
Cfba Caravaca
CFB
50%
24%
26%
52 47 5 0
31 may. 2009
MOR
Moratalla
0 - 0
CD Alcalá
ALC
47%
26%
27%
52 41 11 0
24 may. 2009
ALC
CD Alcalá
2 - 0
Moratalla
MOR
62%
22%
16%
52 42 10 0
17 may. 2009
ALC
CD Alcalá
3 - 0
Chiclana CF
CCF
65%
21%
14%
51 37 14 +1
10 may. 2009
CAR
AD Cartaya
1 - 0
CD Alcalá
ALC
29%
27%
44%
53 40 13 -2