Análisis Chapecoense vs AC Paranavaí
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
61.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.77
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
22.9%
Empate
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
15.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.75
Goles esperados
0-1
6%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+20%
+14%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 jul. 2007 |
CHA
0 - 2
CAN
66%
21%
13%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 jul. 2007 |
ROM
1 - 0
CHA
21%
24%
55%
|
64 | 43 | 21 | -1 |
| 06 may. 2007 |
CRI
2 - 2
CHA
50%
22%
28%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 abr. 2007 |
CHA
1 - 0
CRI
45%
24%
31%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 abr. 2007 |
HER
2 - 3
CHA
36%
24%
40%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
Partidos
AC Paranavaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 jul. 2007 |
ACP
1 - 4
ROM
67%
19%
14%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 jul. 2007 |
CAN
1 - 1
ACP
49%
25%
25%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 may. 2007 |
PAR
0 - 0
ACP
80%
14%
6%
|
54 | 80 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 abr. 2007 |
ACP
1 - 0
PAR
14%
20%
66%
|
53 | 81 | 28 | +1 |
| 22 abr. 2007 |
COT
1 - 1
ACP
78%
15%
8%
|
53 | 74 | 21 | 0 |