Análisis Chapecoense vs Avaí
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
62.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.04
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.7%
Empate
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
17.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.97
Goles esperados
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+27%
+3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 feb. 2005 |
UTI
1 - 2
CHA
6%
14%
80%
|
68 | 9 | 59 | 0 |
| 29 ene. 2005 |
CHA
0 - 1
HER
73%
17%
11%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 ene. 2005 |
FFL
5 - 1
CHA
73%
16%
11%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 ene. 2005 |
CHA
1 - 1
GUA
82%
13%
6%
|
70 | 49 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 nov. 1979 |
CHA
1 - 1
BRA
61%
23%
17%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -3 |
Partidos
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 feb. 2005 |
FFL
1 - 1
AVA
75%
17%
8%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 ene. 2005 |
AVA
7 - 1
UTI
82%
13%
5%
|
62 | 9 | 53 | 0 |
| 26 ene. 2005 |
GUA
0 - 1
AVA
27%
24%
49%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 ene. 2005 |
AVA
1 - 2
HER
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 dic. 2004 |
FOR
2 - 0
AVA
61%
22%
17%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |