Análisis Chapecoense vs Criciúma
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
38.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.55
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
23.9%
Empate
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
37.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.54
Goles esperados
0-1
7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+16%
+3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 mar. 2009 |
BRU
3 - 3
CHA
35%
25%
40%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 mar. 2009 |
MAR
0 - 2
CHA
30%
24%
46%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 mar. 2009 |
CHA
5 - 1
AVA
21%
22%
57%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | +3 |
| 26 feb. 2009 |
MET
2 - 1
CHA
35%
25%
41%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 feb. 2009 |
CHA
2 - 0
HER
43%
24%
34%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
Partidos
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 mar. 2009 |
CRI
6 - 1
MAR
74%
16%
10%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 mar. 2009 |
AVA
4 - 0
CRI
59%
23%
19%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 mar. 2009 |
CRI
3 - 0
TUP
74%
15%
11%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 feb. 2009 |
CRI
2 - 2
MET
77%
14%
9%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 feb. 2009 |
HER
1 - 0
CRI
32%
25%
42%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |