Análisis Chapecoense vs Criciúma
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
47.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.82
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
22.8%
Empate
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
29.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.38
Goles esperados
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+19%
+4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 abr. 2009 |
JEC
3 - 0
CHA
42%
24%
34%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 abr. 2009 |
CHA
2 - 0
JEC
59%
21%
20%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 abr. 2009 |
CRI
0 - 0
CHA
59%
20%
21%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 mar. 2009 |
CHA
1 - 1
AVA
28%
23%
49%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 mar. 2009 |
JEC
0 - 1
CHA
49%
23%
28%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 abr. 2009 |
CRI
2 - 3
AVA
31%
24%
46%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 abr. 2009 |
AVA
2 - 1
CRI
61%
21%
18%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 abr. 2009 |
CRI
0 - 0
CHA
59%
20%
21%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 mar. 2009 |
JEC
1 - 1
CRI
39%
24%
37%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 mar. 2009 |
FFL
5 - 4
CRI
75%
16%
9%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |