Análisis Chapecoense vs Guarani de Palhoça
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
81.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.67
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
12.7%
Empate
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.7%
5.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.58
Goles esperados
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 nov. 1979 |
CHA
1 - 1
BRA
61%
23%
17%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 oct. 1979 |
CHA
0 - 1
CRI
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 oct. 1979 |
CAX
5 - 1
CHA
74%
15%
10%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 oct. 1979 |
OPE
1 - 0
CHA
38%
28%
35%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 oct. 1979 |
CHA
2 - 3
MAR
39%
24%
37%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |