Análisis Chapecoense vs Guarani de Palhoça
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
71.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.34
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
17.3%
Empate
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
11.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.83
Goles esperados
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 feb. 2005 |
GUA
5 - 1
CHA
17%
21%
62%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 feb. 2005 |
CHA
2 - 2
FFL
27%
25%
48%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 feb. 2005 |
HER
2 - 0
CHA
29%
23%
48%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 feb. 2005 |
AVA
2 - 0
CHA
35%
25%
41%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 feb. 2005 |
CHA
4 - 0
UTI
89%
9%
2%
|
68 | 7 | 61 | 0 |
Partidos
Guarani de Palhoça
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 mar. 2005 |
AVA
1 - 0
GUA
61%
22%
17%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 mar. 2005 |
GUA
1 - 0
JEC
31%
24%
46%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 mar. 2005 |
GUA
3 - 1
MAR
35%
24%
41%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 mar. 2005 |
MAR
1 - 0
GUA
60%
21%
19%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 mar. 2005 |
JEC
3 - 0
GUA
66%
19%
15%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |