Análisis Chapecoense vs Hercílio Luz
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
83.1%
Probabilidad gana
2.22
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
15.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
20.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.3%
+2
25%
1-0
18.9%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
24.5%
13.8%
Empate
0-0
8.5%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
0.6%
3-3
<0%
0
13.8%
3.1%
Probabilidad gana
0.25
Goles esperados
0-1
2.1%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-6%
+3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 ene. 2019 |
TUB
3 - 3
CHA
14%
22%
63%
|
77 | 49 | 28 | 0 |
| 26 ene. 2019 |
JEC
1 - 2
CHA
16%
23%
61%
|
77 | 52 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 ene. 2019 |
CHA
1 - 0
CRI
64%
22%
14%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 ene. 2019 |
MET
0 - 0
CHA
8%
17%
75%
|
77 | 45 | 32 | 0 |
| 18 ene. 2019 |
CHA
1 - 0
MAR
83%
14%
3%
|
77 | 48 | 29 | 0 |
Partidos
Hercílio Luz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 ene. 2019 |
HER
0 - 0
JEC
29%
26%
45%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 ene. 2019 |
HER
4 - 0
MET
40%
26%
34%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 ene. 2019 |
AVA
3 - 0
HER
80%
15%
5%
|
45 | 72 | 27 | 0 |
| 19 ene. 2019 |
HER
1 - 1
BRU
40%
26%
34%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 ene. 2019 |
TUB
2 - 2
HER
61%
22%
17%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |