Análisis Chapecoense vs Marcílio Dias
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
64.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.01
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.6%
Empate
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
15.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.85
Goles esperados
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+16%
+19%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 feb. 2008 |
CHA
3 - 1
GUA
45%
24%
31%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 feb. 2008 |
CHA
2 - 2
TUB
63%
21%
16%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 feb. 2008 |
CRI
3 - 1
CHA
65%
19%
16%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 feb. 2008 |
CHA
4 - 2
BRU
46%
24%
30%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 ene. 2008 |
GUA
0 - 3
CHA
41%
24%
35%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
Partidos
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 feb. 2008 |
JEC
0 - 1
MAR
67%
19%
14%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 feb. 2008 |
MAR
5 - 0
JUV
31%
24%
45%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | +2 |
| 03 feb. 2008 |
HER
0 - 0
MAR
65%
20%
15%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | +1 |
| 30 ene. 2008 |
MAR
1 - 4
MET
34%
25%
40%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | -2 |
| 27 ene. 2008 |
MAR
1 - 2
GUA
34%
25%
41%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |