Análisis Chapecoense vs Marcílio Dias
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
59.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.96
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.6%
Empate
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
19.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.02
Goles esperados
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+16%
+10%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 ene. 2009 |
AVA
1 - 0
CHA
76%
15%
9%
|
52 | 73 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 ene. 2009 |
CHA
0 - 0
MET
54%
22%
23%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 ene. 2009 |
HER
2 - 1
CHA
49%
24%
27%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 abr. 2008 |
MET
2 - 1
CHA
48%
24%
28%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 abr. 2008 |
CHA
0 - 6
AVA
27%
23%
50%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | -1 |
Partidos
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 ene. 2009 |
MAR
2 - 0
BRU
42%
24%
34%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 ene. 2009 |
MAR
0 - 2
AVA
14%
20%
66%
|
48 | 73 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 ene. 2009 |
MET
1 - 1
MAR
54%
23%
23%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 ago. 2008 |
TCW
1 - 1
MAR
62%
22%
16%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 jul. 2008 |
MAR
1 - 1
ISM
38%
27%
35%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |