Análisis Chapecoense vs Paraná
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
58.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.7
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23.9%
Empate
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
17.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.8
Goles esperados
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+20%
-6%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 ago. 2013 |
CHA
1 - 0
GUA
69%
19%
12%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 ago. 2013 |
CHA
3 - 0
ATL
51%
25%
24%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 ago. 2013 |
SPO
1 - 2
CHA
51%
26%
23%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 jul. 2013 |
CEA
3 - 1
CHA
47%
27%
26%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 jul. 2013 |
CHA
3 - 1
AVA
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 ago. 2013 |
PAR
3 - 1
BOA
63%
23%
15%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 ago. 2013 |
PAL
2 - 1
PAR
68%
21%
11%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 ago. 2013 |
PAR
1 - 1
JEC
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 ago. 2013 |
ATL
0 - 2
PAR
58%
24%
18%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 jul. 2013 |
BRA
0 - 0
PAR
50%
26%
24%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |