Análisis Chaves vs Porto
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
25.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.98
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
26.7%
Empate
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
47.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.43
Goles esperados
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-2%
-2%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 ene. 1986 |
BOA
1 - 0
CHA
60%
22%
18%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 ene. 1986 |
CHA
0 - 0
SCP
18%
22%
61%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 ene. 1986 |
BEL
4 - 1
CHA
53%
24%
23%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 ene. 1986 |
CHA
2 - 0
ACA
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 dic. 1985 |
CHA
1 - 1
SPB
56%
23%
21%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 ene. 1986 |
FCP
2 - 0
AVE
93%
6%
2%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 ene. 1986 |
PEN
0 - 2
FCP
13%
30%
57%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 ene. 1986 |
FCP
2 - 0
SAL
88%
9%
4%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 ene. 1986 |
SLB
0 - 0
FCP
62%
22%
16%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 dic. 1985 |
SPC
2 - 0
FCP
13%
23%
64%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |