Análisis Chaves vs Penafiel
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
54.8%
Probabilidad gana
1.57
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
25.4%
Empate
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.3%
19.9%
Probabilidad gana
0.83
Goles esperados
0-1
7.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-17%
+18%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 feb. 1989 |
BOA
4 - 0
CHA
63%
23%
15%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 ene. 1989 |
CHA
2 - 1
SCP
17%
27%
56%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | +1 |
| 22 ene. 1989 |
EST
1 - 1
CHA
52%
26%
22%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 ene. 1989 |
CHA
0 - 1
VST
54%
26%
21%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 ene. 1989 |
NAC
3 - 1
CHA
58%
24%
18%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 feb. 1989 |
PEN
0 - 1
SPB
44%
29%
27%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 ene. 1989 |
BMA
2 - 1
PEN
56%
25%
20%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 ene. 1989 |
PEN
1 - 1
LEX
50%
30%
20%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 ene. 1989 |
FCP
2 - 0
PEN
81%
13%
5%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | -1 |
| 08 ene. 1989 |
PEN
1 - 0
SLB
15%
30%
55%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | +1 |