Análisis Chaves vs Penafiel
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
45.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.37
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
27.2%
Empate
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
27.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1
Goles esperados
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-4%
-27%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 mar. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 1
CHA
25%
27%
49%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 mar. 2021 |
CHA
1 - 1
POR
56%
25%
19%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 mar. 2021 |
OLI
0 - 1
CHA
39%
27%
34%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 feb. 2021 |
CHA
2 - 2
VIZ
45%
28%
27%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 feb. 2021 |
COV
1 - 1
CHA
25%
27%
48%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
Partidos
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 mar. 2021 |
PEN
1 - 1
CAS
62%
23%
15%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 mar. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 0
PEN
28%
26%
46%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 mar. 2021 |
ARO
0 - 1
PEN
42%
27%
32%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 mar. 2021 |
SPC
0 - 2
PEN
38%
27%
35%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 mar. 2021 |
PEN
1 - 2
ACA
38%
29%
34%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |