Análisis Chaves vs Penafiel
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
46.8%
Probabilidad gana
1.41
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.9%
Empate
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
26.3%
Probabilidad gana
0.99
Goles esperados
0-1
9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-13%
-5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 mar. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 1
CHA
25%
27%
48%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 mar. 2021 |
CHA
1 - 1
POR
56%
25%
20%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 mar. 2021 |
OLI
0 - 1
CHA
35%
27%
38%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 feb. 2021 |
CHA
2 - 2
VIZ
45%
28%
28%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 feb. 2021 |
COV
1 - 1
CHA
26%
27%
47%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
Partidos
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 mar. 2021 |
PEN
1 - 1
CAS
58%
24%
18%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 mar. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 0
PEN
29%
26%
45%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 mar. 2021 |
ARO
0 - 1
PEN
43%
27%
31%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 mar. 2021 |
SPC
0 - 2
PEN
38%
27%
35%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 mar. 2021 |
PEN
1 - 2
ACA
37%
29%
34%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |