Análisis Chaves vs Sporting Braga II
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
49.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.37
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
+3
6.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.5%
27.8%
Empate
0-0
11%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
22.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.84
Goles esperados
0-1
9.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-2%
+5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 dic. 2013 |
LEX
1 - 2
CHA
57%
25%
18%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 dic. 2013 |
CHA
1 - 0
SAN
44%
28%
28%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 dic. 2013 |
CHA
1 - 2
TRO
47%
26%
27%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 dic. 2013 |
POR
4 - 2
CHA
62%
22%
16%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 dic. 2013 |
CHA
3 - 2
PEN
31%
30%
39%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
Partidos
Sporting Braga II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 dic. 2013 |
BRA
1 - 0
ACV
50%
25%
25%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 dic. 2013 |
TON
2 - 1
BRA
64%
22%
15%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 dic. 2013 |
SCP
2 - 0
BRA
63%
22%
15%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 dic. 2013 |
BRA
1 - 0
POR
37%
28%
36%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 dic. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 1
BRA
49%
26%
26%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |