Análisis Chelsea vs Aston Villa
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
42.2%
Probabilidad gana
1.63
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
23.9%
Empate
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
33.9%
Probabilidad gana
1.44
Goles esperados
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+4%
-3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 abr. 1952 |
PNE
1 - 0
CHL
63%
20%
17%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 abr. 1952 |
ARS
3 - 0
CHL
81%
12%
8%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 abr. 1952 |
ARS
1 - 1
CHL
81%
12%
7%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 mar. 1952 |
CHL
1 - 0
STO
58%
21%
21%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 mar. 1952 |
BOL
3 - 0
CHL
59%
21%
20%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
Partidos
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 abr. 1952 |
MID
2 - 0
ASV
47%
23%
31%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 abr. 1952 |
ASV
4 - 1
FUL
74%
16%
10%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 mar. 1952 |
ASV
4 - 1
BUR
64%
20%
16%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 mar. 1952 |
PNE
2 - 2
ASV
50%
22%
27%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 mar. 1952 |
ASV
0 - 3
TOT
60%
21%
20%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |