Análisis Chelsea vs Aston Villa
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
55.1%
Probabilidad gana
1.73
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.7%
Empate
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
21.2%
Probabilidad gana
0.98
Goles esperados
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+7%
-5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 dic. 1989 |
LUT
0 - 3
CHL
56%
23%
22%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 dic. 1989 |
CRY
2 - 2
CHL
38%
26%
36%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 dic. 1989 |
CHL
2 - 5
LIV
21%
25%
54%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 dic. 1989 |
QPR
4 - 2
CHL
53%
24%
23%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 dic. 1989 |
CHL
2 - 5
WIM
50%
26%
24%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Partidos
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 dic. 1989 |
ASV
2 - 1
ARS
31%
27%
42%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 dic. 1989 |
ASV
3 - 0
MUD
41%
27%
32%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 dic. 1989 |
MIL
2 - 0
ASV
44%
26%
29%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 dic. 1989 |
LIV
1 - 1
ASV
76%
16%
8%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 dic. 1989 |
ASV
2 - 1
NTT
30%
27%
43%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |