Análisis Chelsea vs Derby County
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
53.5%
Probabilidad gana
1.93
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.1%
Empate
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
24.4%
Probabilidad gana
1.24
Goles esperados
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+4%
+6%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 abr. 1936 |
CHL
1 - 0
HUR
46%
24%
31%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 mar. 1936 |
BRE
2 - 1
CHL
56%
21%
23%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 mar. 1936 |
CHL
1 - 0
ASV
48%
22%
30%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 mar. 1936 |
BOL
2 - 3
CHL
56%
21%
23%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 mar. 1936 |
CHL
2 - 2
WBA
46%
23%
32%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 abr. 1936 |
MAC
1 - 0
DER
61%
20%
20%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 mar. 1936 |
DER
2 - 2
LIV
62%
19%
19%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 mar. 1936 |
BIR
2 - 3
DER
54%
22%
24%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 mar. 1936 |
DER
0 - 1
STO
66%
18%
16%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 mar. 1936 |
WBA
0 - 3
DER
66%
18%
16%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |