Análisis Chepo vs Alianza FC
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
59.5%
Probabilidad gana
1.85
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.4%
Empate
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
18.1%
Probabilidad gana
0.91
Goles esperados
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Chepo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 oct. 2012 |
SMI
1 - 1
CHE
48%
27%
25%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 sep. 2012 |
CHE
1 - 0
CHI
66%
21%
14%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 sep. 2012 |
RIO
1 - 0
CHE
40%
29%
31%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 sep. 2012 |
CHE
2 - 2
TAU
45%
26%
29%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 sep. 2012 |
CHE
2 - 2
ARA
52%
26%
22%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
Partidos
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 oct. 2012 |
AFC
1 - 1
SFF
38%
26%
35%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 sep. 2012 |
AMA
1 - 0
AFC
47%
25%
28%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 sep. 2012 |
SMI
1 - 3
AFC
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 sep. 2012 |
AFC
2 - 2
CHI
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 sep. 2012 |
AFC
1 - 1
RIO
46%
26%
29%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |