Análisis Chile Sub20 vs Ecuador Sub20
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
67.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.3
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.2%
Empate
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
13.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.94
Goles esperados
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-10%
-11%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Chile Sub20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 ene. 2005 |
BRA
4 - 2
CHI
87%
10%
3%
|
58 | 84 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 ene. 2005 |
CHI
3 - 2
PAR
20%
22%
57%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 ene. 2005 |
URU
0 - 0
CHI
77%
15%
8%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | +1 |
| 13 ene. 2003 |
VEN
0 - 2
CHI
26%
24%
51%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +2 |
| 11 ene. 2003 |
COL
1 - 0
CHI
57%
22%
21%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
Partidos
Ecuador Sub20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 ene. 2005 |
PAR
4 - 2
ECU
81%
13%
6%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 ene. 2005 |
URU
6 - 0
ECU
83%
12%
5%
|
51 | 72 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 ene. 2005 |
BRA
5 - 0
ECU
90%
8%
2%
|
51 | 85 | 34 | 0 |
| 28 ene. 2003 |
ECU
2 - 3
PAR
14%
21%
66%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 ene. 2003 |
ECU
0 - 2
BRA
5%
15%
80%
|
51 | 83 | 32 | 0 |