Análisis China vs Corea del Norte
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
71.7%
Probabilidad gana
2.39
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
16.9%
Empate
0-0
4%
1-1
8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
11.4%
Probabilidad gana
0.84
Goles esperados
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-14%
-4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
China
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 feb. 2008 |
CHN
0 - 1
JPN
20%
22%
58%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 feb. 2008 |
CHN
2 - 3
KOR
24%
23%
54%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 feb. 2008 |
IRQ
1 - 1
CHN
45%
27%
28%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 ene. 2008 |
CHN
2 - 1
SYR
70%
18%
12%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 ene. 2008 |
CHN
0 - 0
LBN
77%
15%
8%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
Partidos
Corea del Norte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 feb. 2008 |
PRK
1 - 1
KOR
8%
17%
75%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 feb. 2008 |
JPN
1 - 1
PRK
84%
12%
4%
|
73 | 90 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 feb. 2008 |
JOR
0 - 1
PRK
50%
26%
24%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 dic. 2007 |
THA
1 - 0
PRK
55%
22%
23%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 dic. 2007 |
PRK
2 - 2
UZB
38%
25%
38%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |