Análisis China vs Nepal
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
86.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.73
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.7%
4-0
10.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
+4
12.6%
3-0
15.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.5%
2-0
16.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.7%
10.4%
Empate
0-0
4.4%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
10.4%
3.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.38
Goles esperados
0-1
1.7%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
China
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 jul. 2004 |
CHN
6 - 0
LBN
78%
15%
7%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 jun. 2004 |
CHN
4 - 0
MAS
82%
13%
5%
|
85 | 59 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 jun. 2004 |
CHN
2 - 1
HUN
42%
25%
33%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 abr. 2004 |
ALG
0 - 1
CHN
42%
27%
31%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 abr. 2004 |
AND
0 - 0
CHN
11%
19%
70%
|
85 | 55 | 30 | 0 |
Partidos
Nepal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 may. 2004 |
NPL
2 - 3
BHR
18%
25%
57%
|
44 | 76 | 32 | 0 |
| 11 ene. 2004 |
YEM
0 - 3
NPL
77%
14%
10%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | +3 |
| 07 ene. 2004 |
NPL
1 - 3
BHR
18%
25%
57%
|
42 | 76 | 34 | -1 |
| 03 ene. 2004 |
NPL
0 - 0
QAT
16%
23%
62%
|
41 | 80 | 39 | +1 |
| 24 oct. 2003 |
KOR
7 - 0
NPL
90%
8%
2%
|
41 | 90 | 49 | 0 |