Análisis China vs Nueva Zelanda
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
61.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.14
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20.1%
Empate
0-0
4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
18.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.08
Goles esperados
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
China
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 may. 1996 |
NED
2 - 0
CHN
75%
17%
8%
|
79 | 93 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 may. 1996 |
CHN
0 - 3
ENG
17%
26%
57%
|
79 | 95 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 oct. 1995 |
CHN
2 - 1
COL
34%
32%
34%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 feb. 1995 |
HKG
3 - 1
CHN
18%
25%
57%
|
78 | 55 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 feb. 1995 |
JPN
2 - 1
CHN
55%
23%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
Partidos
Nueva Zelanda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 nov. 1995 |
AUS
3 - 0
NZL
60%
24%
17%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 nov. 1995 |
NZL
0 - 0
AUS
43%
28%
29%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 jun. 1995 |
URU
2 - 2
NZL
72%
19%
10%
|
75 | 90 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 jun. 1995 |
URU
7 - 0
NZL
70%
20%
10%
|
75 | 90 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 jun. 1995 |
NZL
2 - 3
PAR
33%
29%
38%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |