Análisis Choco vs Arosa
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
72.9%
Probabilidad gana
2.77
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
15.1%
Empate
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.1%
12%
Probabilidad gana
1.06
Goles esperados
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+39%
-7%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 abr. 1961 |
ACF
2 - 3
CHO
65%
19%
16%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 abr. 1961 |
CHO
4 - 2
CEL
51%
22%
27%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 mar. 1961 |
VIV
3 - 0
CHO
69%
17%
14%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 mar. 1961 |
CHO
3 - 0
SAN
62%
19%
19%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 mar. 1961 |
CHO
5 - 2
ZEL
65%
18%
18%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
Partidos
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 abr. 1961 |
ARO
1 - 2
ZEL
61%
20%
20%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 abr. 1961 |
COX
3 - 0
ARO
49%
23%
29%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | -2 |
| 26 mar. 1961 |
ARO
4 - 0
DEP
58%
21%
21%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 mar. 1961 |
RCF
3 - 1
ARO
86%
9%
5%
|
22 | 52 | 30 | 0 |
| 12 mar. 1961 |
ARO
3 - 2
GRA
61%
20%
19%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |