Análisis Choco vs Arosa
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
54.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.8
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.1%
Empate
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
22.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.07
Goles esperados
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-48%
-10%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 nov. 2012 |
MON
0 - 1
CHO
21%
24%
55%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 nov. 2012 |
CHO
3 - 0
CDA
81%
13%
6%
|
26 | 11 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 nov. 2012 |
POR
2 - 1
CHO
36%
25%
39%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 nov. 2012 |
CHO
4 - 0
EST
43%
26%
31%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +2 |
| 28 oct. 2012 |
CDP
1 - 4
CHO
21%
24%
56%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
Partidos
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 nov. 2012 |
ARO
3 - 3
CUL
21%
24%
55%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 nov. 2012 |
CDL
0 - 3
ARO
27%
23%
50%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 nov. 2012 |
ARO
0 - 2
CDV
61%
21%
19%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 nov. 2012 |
USD
0 - 1
ARO
30%
23%
48%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 oct. 2012 |
ARO
0 - 1
UDA
54%
22%
24%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |