Análisis Choco vs Arosa
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
63%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.07
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.4%
Empate
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
16.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.96
Goles esperados
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-23%
-3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 feb. 2016 |
BOI
1 - 2
CHO
53%
24%
23%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 feb. 2016 |
CHO
5 - 3
ASP
58%
22%
20%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 ene. 2016 |
VER
0 - 2
CHO
30%
26%
44%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 ene. 2016 |
CHO
2 - 0
ORD
70%
19%
12%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 ene. 2016 |
GAL
3 - 1
CHO
27%
25%
48%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | -2 |
Partidos
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 feb. 2016 |
ARO
5 - 1
BAR
44%
25%
31%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 feb. 2016 |
RIB
0 - 2
ARO
58%
22%
21%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 ene. 2016 |
ARO
1 - 2
BAR
46%
25%
29%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 ene. 2016 |
BER
1 - 1
ARO
43%
27%
31%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 ene. 2016 |
ARO
1 - 2
DEP
33%
25%
43%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |