Análisis Choco vs Arosa
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
40.7%
Probabilidad gana
1.52
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
24.7%
Empate
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
34.5%
Probabilidad gana
1.38
Goles esperados
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+23%
-23%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 nov. 2018 |
COM
4 - 1
CHO
74%
16%
10%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 nov. 2018 |
CHO
3 - 2
UPH
59%
21%
19%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 nov. 2018 |
SIL
2 - 2
CHO
25%
24%
52%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 oct. 2018 |
CHO
1 - 0
ALO
40%
25%
35%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 oct. 2018 |
CEL
2 - 1
CHO
34%
25%
42%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
Partidos
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 nov. 2018 |
ARO
1 - 1
BOI
62%
20%
18%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 nov. 2018 |
BAR
3 - 2
ARO
52%
23%
25%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 nov. 2018 |
ARO
3 - 0
POR
79%
14%
8%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 oct. 2018 |
UDO
1 - 1
ARO
42%
24%
34%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 oct. 2018 |
ARO
0 - 1
RCF
34%
24%
42%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |