Análisis Choco vs Barbadás
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
50.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.7
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24%
Empate
0-0
6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
25.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.12
Goles esperados
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-24%
-2%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 may. 2010 |
TOM
0 - 4
CHO
31%
26%
43%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 may. 2010 |
CHO
1 - 2
PON
54%
24%
22%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 abr. 2010 |
ARE
0 - 5
CHO
35%
26%
38%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 abr. 2010 |
CHO
3 - 0
RIB
52%
24%
24%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 abr. 2010 |
COV
0 - 1
CHO
22%
25%
53%
|
25 | 14 | 11 | 0 |
Partidos
Barbadás
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 may. 2010 |
BAR
0 - 1
EST
41%
25%
34%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 may. 2010 |
POR
2 - 1
BAR
45%
25%
30%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 abr. 2010 |
BAR
2 - 0
CAS
68%
19%
13%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 abr. 2010 |
CAM
2 - 0
BAR
34%
25%
41%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 abr. 2010 |
BAR
4 - 2
POR
42%
26%
32%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |