Análisis Choco vs Barco
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
58.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.88
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.2%
Empate
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
18.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.96
Goles esperados
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-24%
+19%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 feb. 2009 |
ARE
1 - 0
CHO
57%
22%
20%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 feb. 2009 |
CHO
1 - 1
PON
58%
23%
19%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 feb. 2009 |
CUL
1 - 0
CHO
54%
23%
24%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 ene. 2009 |
CHO
3 - 0
MEL
63%
21%
16%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 ene. 2009 |
CAS
3 - 0
CHO
52%
22%
26%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -2 |
Partidos
Barco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 feb. 2009 |
BAR
0 - 1
SAN
55%
22%
23%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 feb. 2009 |
BAR
0 - 5
ARE
34%
25%
41%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 feb. 2009 |
PON
0 - 3
BAR
54%
23%
24%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 ene. 2009 |
BAR
2 - 5
CUL
37%
25%
38%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 ene. 2009 |
MEL
1 - 1
BAR
37%
25%
38%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |