Análisis Choco vs Bergantiños FC
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
57.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.81
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23%
Empate
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
19.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.96
Goles esperados
0-1
6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-31%
+8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 abr. 2015 |
PON
1 - 2
CHO
68%
20%
13%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 abr. 2015 |
CHO
0 - 0
CER
52%
24%
25%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 abr. 2015 |
ALO
0 - 0
CHO
38%
26%
36%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 mar. 2015 |
CHO
5 - 0
ASP
45%
24%
31%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 mar. 2015 |
BOU
1 - 0
CHO
53%
24%
23%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
Bergantiños FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 abr. 2015 |
BER
1 - 0
ARO
41%
26%
33%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 abr. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 0
BER
38%
27%
35%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 abr. 2015 |
BER
5 - 0
BER
78%
16%
6%
|
30 | 13 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 mar. 2015 |
LAR
0 - 3
BER
30%
28%
42%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +2 |
| 22 mar. 2015 |
BER
1 - 0
BOI
36%
27%
37%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |