Análisis Choco vs Caselas
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
59.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.84
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.5%
Empate
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
18.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.92
Goles esperados
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-23%
+68%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 feb. 2010 |
CAM
1 - 0
CHO
36%
26%
38%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 ene. 2010 |
CHO
0 - 0
POR
41%
26%
33%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 ene. 2010 |
SPO
0 - 3
CHO
34%
26%
40%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 ene. 2010 |
BAR
0 - 0
CHO
44%
25%
31%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 ene. 2010 |
CHO
1 - 2
CRU
52%
24%
24%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
Partidos
Caselas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 feb. 2010 |
CAS
1 - 2
EST
39%
23%
38%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 ene. 2010 |
POR
0 - 1
CAS
66%
20%
13%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 ene. 2010 |
SAN
3 - 0
CAS
60%
21%
19%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 ene. 2010 |
CAS
4 - 4
CAM
48%
22%
29%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 ene. 2010 |
CAS
2 - 4
POR
38%
25%
36%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | -1 |