Análisis Choco vs Celta Fortuna
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
70.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.52
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
8%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
16.6%
Empate
0-0
3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
12.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.99
Goles esperados
0-1
3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-50%
-6%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 oct. 1965 |
ATO
5 - 0
CHO
72%
16%
12%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 oct. 1965 |
CHO
2 - 1
ALO
55%
21%
24%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 oct. 1965 |
BOU
1 - 0
CHO
75%
15%
10%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 sep. 1965 |
CHO
1 - 1
LEM
62%
20%
18%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 sep. 1965 |
COM
2 - 0
CHO
85%
10%
5%
|
21 | 50 | 29 | 0 |
Partidos
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 oct. 1965 |
CEL
2 - 3
COX
60%
21%
19%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 oct. 1965 |
CEL
2 - 2
LUG
33%
27%
40%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 oct. 1965 |
ATO
2 - 1
CEL
74%
15%
10%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 sep. 1965 |
CEL
1 - 0
ALO
43%
25%
33%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 sep. 1965 |
BOU
1 - 1
CEL
79%
13%
8%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |