Análisis Choco vs Deportivo Fabril
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
53.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.1
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
21%
Empate
0-0
3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
25.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.42
Goles esperados
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-32%
+16%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 feb. 1961 |
RCF
1 - 1
CHO
93%
5%
2%
|
21 | 54 | 33 | 0 |
| 12 feb. 1961 |
CHO
2 - 3
GRA
61%
19%
20%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 feb. 1961 |
FLA
2 - 2
CHO
48%
22%
30%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 ene. 1961 |
CHO
1 - 2
LEM
68%
17%
16%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 ene. 1961 |
LUG
6 - 0
CHO
88%
8%
4%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | -1 |
Partidos
Deportivo Fabril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 feb. 1961 |
DEP
4 - 1
ZEL
70%
17%
14%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 feb. 1961 |
COX
0 - 2
DEP
66%
18%
17%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 feb. 1961 |
DEP
2 - 2
SAN
72%
16%
12%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 ene. 1961 |
DEP
6 - 0
RCF
23%
23%
55%
|
22 | 55 | 33 | +2 |
| 22 ene. 1961 |
GRA
4 - 1
DEP
61%
20%
19%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -1 |