Análisis Choco vs Deportivo Fabril
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
62.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.39
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
18.7%
Empate
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
18.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.26
Goles esperados
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-36%
+16%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 ene. 1962 |
RCF
8 - 1
CHO
90%
7%
3%
|
22 | 52 | 30 | 0 |
| 31 dic. 1961 |
CHO
3 - 2
CEL
51%
22%
28%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 dic. 1961 |
ZEL
1 - 1
CHO
74%
15%
12%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 dic. 1961 |
CHO
1 - 1
COX
57%
20%
23%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 nov. 1961 |
ALO
0 - 0
CHO
70%
16%
14%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Deportivo Fabril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 ene. 1962 |
DEP
6 - 3
ALO
65%
19%
16%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 dic. 1961 |
VIV
1 - 3
DEP
67%
18%
15%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 dic. 1961 |
DEP
2 - 1
LEM
53%
22%
25%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 dic. 1961 |
DEP
1 - 2
ACF
50%
23%
27%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 nov. 1961 |
GRA
4 - 0
DEP
50%
22%
27%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | -1 |