Análisis Choco vs Deportivo Fabril
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
54%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.96
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.9%
Empate
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
24%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.24
Goles esperados
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-22%
+6%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 nov. 1963 |
BUE
2 - 2
CHO
60%
20%
20%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 nov. 1963 |
CHO
2 - 1
FOZ
72%
15%
13%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 nov. 1963 |
GRA
1 - 2
CHO
72%
16%
12%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 oct. 1963 |
CHO
1 - 7
COM
29%
22%
49%
|
22 | 53 | 31 | 0 |
| 13 oct. 1963 |
RCF
3 - 1
CHO
90%
7%
3%
|
22 | 49 | 27 | 0 |
Partidos
Deportivo Fabril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 nov. 1963 |
DEP
4 - 0
ALO
69%
17%
14%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 nov. 1963 |
BUE
2 - 3
DEP
49%
24%
27%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 nov. 1963 |
DEP
2 - 2
LEM
81%
12%
7%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 oct. 1963 |
FOZ
3 - 2
DEP
38%
26%
36%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | -2 |
| 13 oct. 1963 |
DEP
6 - 2
CEL
79%
13%
8%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | +1 |