Análisis Choco vs Gran Peña
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
50.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.66
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.4%
Empate
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
24.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.08
Goles esperados
0-1
7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-31%
-52%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 nov. 2009 |
RAP
1 - 3
CHO
35%
26%
40%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 oct. 2009 |
CHO
1 - 0
SDN
76%
16%
8%
|
24 | 11 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 oct. 2009 |
CHO
1 - 1
SAN
56%
23%
21%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 oct. 2009 |
EST
2 - 0
CHO
55%
23%
22%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 oct. 2009 |
CHO
0 - 3
POR
44%
25%
32%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
Partidos
Gran Peña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 nov. 2009 |
GRA
0 - 2
EST
40%
25%
36%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 oct. 2009 |
POR
3 - 0
GRA
54%
24%
23%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 oct. 2009 |
GRA
2 - 1
CAS
59%
22%
19%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 oct. 2009 |
CAM
0 - 2
GRA
48%
24%
27%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 oct. 2009 |
GRA
2 - 1
POR
41%
26%
34%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +1 |